Ball St
W-L: ( 4- 8) PR = 65.0834Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 830 A Purdue B10 ( 2-10, 72.3) 0-31 906 A Auburn SEC ( 5- 7, 82.3) 3-42 913 H New Hampshire 34-29 920 A UConn IND ( 9- 4, 74.4) 25-31 1004 H Ohio MIDA ( 9- 4, 76.3) 20-14 1011 A We Michigan MIDA (10- 4, 76.3) 0-42 1018 H Akron MIDA ( 5- 7, 62.9) 42-28 1025 A No Illinois MIDA ( 3- 9, 64.5) 7-21 1105 H Kent State MIDA ( 5- 7, 64.2) 17-10 1115 H Ea Michigan MIDA ( 4- 8, 67.1) 9-24 1122 A Toledo MIDA ( 8- 5, 80.0) 9-38 1129 A MiamiOH MIDA ( 7- 6, 74.1) 24-45
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
830 A Purdue 0-31 -31 -12 -1.52
906 A Auburn 3-42 -39 -22 0.00
920 A UConn 25-31 -6 -15 +++ 8.00
1004 H Ohio 20-14 6 -6 +++ 11.95
1011 A We Michigan 0-42 -42 -16 0.00
1018 H Akron 42-28 14 7 +++ 6.59
1025 A No Illinois 7-21 -14 -5 --- -9.28
1105 H Kent State 17-10 7 6 0.90
1115 H Ea Michigan 9-24 -15 3 --- -17.22
1122 A Toledo 9-38 -29 -20 0.00
1129 A MiamiOH 24-45 -21 -14 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1025 A No Illinois 7-21 -14 -5 --- -9.28 1115 H Ea Michigan 9-24 -15 3 --- -17.22 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 920 A UConn 25-31 -6 -15 +++ 8.00 1004 H Ohio 20-14 6 -6 +++ 11.95 1018 H Akron 42-28 14 7 +++ 6.59 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 12.75
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Purdue ( 2-10, 72.3) 0-31 -27.59 23.63 5.26 1.16 -12.94
3 A Auburn ( 5- 7, 82.3) 3-42 -17.63 33.59 5.26 1.16 -7.17
3 A UConn ( 9- 4, 74.4) 25-31 -25.49 25.73 5.26 1.16 -11.73
3 H Ohio ( 9- 4, 76.3) 20-14 -23.60 27.62 -5.26 1.16 51.83
3 A We Michigan (10- 4, 76.3) 0-42 -23.59 27.63 5.26 1.16 -10.62
3 H Akron ( 5- 7, 62.9) 42-28 -36.97 14.25 -5.26 1.16 20.84
3 A No Illinois ( 3- 9, 64.5) 7-21 -35.36 15.86 5.26 1.16 -17.44
3 H Kent State ( 5- 7, 64.2) 17-10 -35.66 15.56 -5.26 1.16 23.88
3 H Ea Michigan ( 4- 8, 67.1) 9-24 -32.78 18.44 -5.26 1.16 -22.04
3 A Toledo ( 8- 5, 80.0) 9-38 -19.94 31.28 5.26 1.16 -8.51
3 A MiamiOH ( 7- 6, 74.1) 24-45 -25.80 25.42 5.26 1.16 -11.91
------
-5.82
|
winning pts = 96.5431 losing points = -102.3635
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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